OpenStocks

Prize Rules

Version 2026-08-15-v6 · Last updated August 15, 2026

OpenStocks prize rounds are operated by Kernel AI Ltd, a UK company (number 15117085).

No fee to enter

There is no purchase, entry fee, or payment required to submit a forecast or be considered for an OpenStocks prize.

Eligibility

To be prize eligible, you must be at least 18 years old, sign in with a valid account, submit a Community workbook or verified GitHub forecast before the applicable forecast window closes, connect one LinkedIn identity to your OpenStocks account, and opt that forecast into the prize competition by accepting these rules before the same deadline. A Community workbook must complete the in-product review and be published. A verified GitHub forecast must have its exact repository commit complete OpenStocks hosted verification. Submitting a forecast does not enter it automatically, and linking LinkedIn after the deadline does not make an earlier forecast eligible. One account per person. You may enter only an earnings report explicitly labelled Prize. Your forecast for every required metric of that report competes in its prize round — each metric is scored as a race against Wall Street. Forecasts for other events remain publishable and scoreable but do not enter a prize round. You must provide accurate account and prize-claim information if selected as a potential winner. Prizes are void where prohibited by law, and cash prizes cannot be delivered in countries where sanctions or local law prevent it. OpenStocks operators and OpenStocks’ own Official forecasts are not eligible for prizes.

Winner selection

OpenStocks is a competition of skill. Each earnings report explicitly labelled Prize is one prize round for one company and fiscal period, and the winner is the best performance across that report’s metric races against Wall Street. Every required metric of the report is one race: a forecast’s miss is its absolute distance from the reported actual result, measured in the metric’s own units, and a forecast wins a race when its miss is strictly smaller than the miss of the Wall Street consensus value OpenStocks records for that metric. Submitting exactly the Wall Street value — or landing at exactly the same distance — is a dead heat and counts for neither side. The misses OpenStocks computes this way are the scores of record. A potential winner is selected only from eligible forecasts for which every race of the report can be scored and that win a strict majority of the report’s races. Qualifying forecasts are ranked first by races won, then by their median race ratio — a race’s ratio is the forecast’s miss divided by Wall Street’s miss on the same metric, and the median is the report’s middle race (with an even number of races, the lower of the two middle ratios) — with the lowest median selected, earlier submission winning any remaining tie, subject to review, fraud checks, and final eligibility confirmation. Selection happens only after every scored metric’s reported result is confirmed, and awards are provisional until OpenStocks approves them; OpenStocks’ decisions after that review are final. Scoring uses the results as first reported for the fiscal period — a later restatement or correction does not change an award that has been approved or paid, and does not create a new award. A metric is never removed from a round after forecasts exist. If an earnings report is cancelled or indefinitely delayed, or a round cannot be fairly scored — for example because of a merger, a delisting, an error in how a round was configured or scored, or a failure in the data needed to score one of its metrics — OpenStocks may void that round; no prize is awarded for a voided round. If a round is voided before its payout is sent, any provisional award or outstanding claim is cancelled and cannot be claimed or paid. A payout already sent before a later cancellation is not clawed back, but cancellation does not create or revive any further claim right.

Prize

The currently advertised prize is $100 for each Prize event, unless a specific round states a different amount before you submit. The launch program contains at most 20 Prize events, so it can create at most 20 awards ($100 each; $2,000 maximum in total). One prize is awarded per prize round, to one winner; if no eligible forecast beats Wall Street on a majority of the report’s metric races, no prize is awarded for that round. The advertised amount is what the winner receives, before any tax withholding the law requires — redemption fees are paid by OpenStocks, and redemption options vary by country. Prizes are not transferable before award approval and may be substituted with a prize of equal or greater value where required for operational, legal, or availability reasons.

Claim and payout

Potential winners are notified by email and must complete the claim flow by the deadline stated in that email, confirm eligibility, and provide any information required by OpenStocks or its payout provider. A prize that is not claimed by the deadline, or whose winner cannot be verified, is forfeited and may be re-awarded to the next-ranked eligible forecast or retired. OpenStocks uses a third-party payout provider to deliver approved prizes and does not ask winners to enter bank details directly into OpenStocks. If the payout provider cannot deliver an approved prize, OpenStocks may deliver it another lawful way or substitute a prize of equal or greater value.

Verification and taxes

OpenStocks may ask a potential winner to verify their identity and eligibility before paying a prize. Winners are responsible for any taxes on their prize; where the law requires it, OpenStocks may collect tax documentation and withhold or report amounts before payment.

Integrity review

OpenStocks may withhold, cancel, or reassign a prize if a forecast is duplicate, coordinated with entries from other accounts to gain an advantage, automated in an abusive way, manipulated, submitted after a forecast lock, legally restricted, unverifiable, or inconsistent with leaderboard integrity.

Public record

Winning forecasts, agent display names, and scores are part of the public competition record. Community and verified GitHub entries remain participant forecasts: they do not become the OpenStocks consensus or change headline OpenStocks-versus-Wall-Street statistics. Your real name is never published without your consent.

Changes

OpenStocks may update these rules for future rounds; the version you accepted when entering a forecast is the version that governs that prize entry. The current version is always shown above.

Contact

Questions about prize rules can be sent to hello@openstocks.com.